- Time horizon:2017 - 2021
- Institution(s):Instituto Tecnologico de Canarias (Coordinator), Universitat de les Illes Balears, Centro tecnologico de ciencias marinas (CETECIMA), Universidad de Castilla - La Mancha (UCLM), The Institute of Economic Structures Research (GWS MBH), Ramboll, Agencia regional da energia e ambiente da regiao autonoma da Madeira (AREAM), The Cyprus Institute, Observatory on Tourism in the European Islands (OTIE), The National Observatory of Athens (NOA), Creativica Canarias, Anci Sardinia, Agenzia nazionale per le nuove tecnologie, l'energia e lo sviluppo economico sostenibile (ENEA), Universite des Antilles (UA), E3M - Energy, Economy, Environment, The Baltic Environmental Forum Germany (BEF Germany), Università di Bologna (UNIBO), Fondazione centro euro-mediterraneosui cambiamenti climatici (CMCC), The Fundação da Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, FP (FCIENCIAS.ID), Goethe University Frankfurt, Kriti.
SOCLIMPACT aims at modelling downscaled Climate Change (CC) effects and their socioeconomic impacts in European islands for 2030–2100, in the context of the EU Blue Economy sectors, and assess corresponding decarbonisation and adaptation pathways, complementing current available projections for Europe, and nourishing actual economic models with non-market assessment, by:
• developing a thorough understanding on how CC will impact the EU islands located in different regions of the world (in particular the island climate and its relationship with oceanic circulation) considering their specific vulnerability;
• contributing to the improvement of the economic valuation of climate impacts by adopting revealed and stated preference methods to measure and analyse, on one hand, the non-market costs of different Climate Change scenarios, and on the other hand, the non-market benefits of climate actions (mitigation and adaptation);
• increasing the effectiveness of the economic modelling of climate impact chains, through the implementation of an integrated methodological framework (GINFORS, GEM-E3 and non-market indicators) in the analysis of climate-induced socioeconomic impacts in 11 EU islands case studies, under different climate scenarios for 2030-2100, with a cross-sectorial perspective (EU Blue Economy sectors);
• facilitating climate-related policy decision making for Blue Growth, by ranking and mapping the more appropriate mitigation and adaptation strategies;
• delivering accurate information to policy makers, practitioners and other relevant stakeholders and formulating science-based recommendations to incentivise the EU islands´ medium to long-term low-carbon transition, in order to strengthen science-policy interface, increase social awareness, and contribute to the competitiveness of the European coastal and maritime industry.
SOCLIMPACT addresses completely this Work Programme providing advances in the economic valuation of climate-induced impacts, and in climate and economic models, allowing downscaled projections of complex impact chains, and facilitating the resilience capacity of these vulnerable lands.